
The national Climate Prediction Center updates their monthly climate outlooks in the middle and last day of each month.
The national Climate Prediction Center updates their monthly climate outlooks in the middle and last day of each month.
After several weeks of above-normal precipitation across much of Indiana, we are now entering a relative dry period. The national Climate Prediction Center is indicating enhanced chances for below-normal precipitation amounts over the next several weeks. Temperatures are also expected to be above normal over this period which will cause increased rates of evapotranspiration. This may induce the onset and establishment of a flash drought – defined as a rapid intensification of drought conditions and impacts sustained for a relatively short amount of time (e.g., less than a year). The key is to start planning and preparing for this now, even if a flash drought does not end up developing, so that one is being proactive rather than reactive to drought impacts. Modified growing degree days range from about 1500 units (northern Indiana) to 200 units (southern Indiana) (Figure 1). With temperatures being relatively mild lately, this has kept accumulated[Read More…]
While rain showers and scattered thunderstorms have fallen across Indiana the last few weeks, conditions still remain dry for most areas.
Current temperatures and rainfall report.
The climate outlooks issued by the national Climate Prediction Center are keeping things exciting for those trying to plan ahead.
The roller coaster ride of Indiana weather continues.
The forecasts and climate outlooks over the next several weeks is calling for below-normal precipitation and above-normal temperatures (Figure 1).
Warmer and wetter than normal. That’s the climate outlook through the end of this month.
Even the climate models are confused by this year’s weather. When the August monthly outlook was released (July 31st; national Climate Prediction Center) it showed significant confidence that August would have below-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation.
The story of excessive rain and soil moisture continues and the 7-day precipitation forecast suggests this wet pattern will continue (Fig. 1). When looking at the precipitation percent of mean for May 1-30, 2019, the southern half of the state received near normal amounts.
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