
Abnormally dry/drought conditions continue across most of Indiana.
Abnormally dry/drought conditions continue across most of Indiana.
The climate outlooks from the national Climate Prediction Center are indicating significant confidence for below-normal precipitation through the first week of October and the monthly precipitation outlook for October is indicating slight confidence for below-normal precipitation throughout the month.
For those keeping track of my articles over the last few weeks, the outlooks of wetter and cooler than normal conditions have been the theme. The cooler temperatures never really came to fruition. In fact, most of Indiana was 1°F to 3°F above normal over the past two weeks (Figure 1)! Regarding the wetter-than-normal precipitation outlook, northern counties, northeastern Indiana, as well as along the Ohio River received above normal precipitation. However, the rest of the state experienced 1” to 2” less-than-normal precipitation over the past 2-week period (Figure 2). Even the above-normal precipitation in the northern and northeastern counties have had little impact relieving the developing drought conditions!
In last week’s article, cooler and wetter conditions were noted for the first half of September with some uncertainty for the latter half of the month.
After the last several weeks of predominantly dry conditions, the national climate outlooks are finally showing confidence that temperatures should start shifting to cooler than normal and precipitation will be wetter than normal (Figure 1).
This past week has been so enjoyable temperature- and humidity-wise that it was easy to hope that it was going to stay this way for several more weeks.
Rain moved across Indiana earlier this week, bringing much-needed precipitation to the northern counties.
The climate outlooks issued by the national Climate Prediction Center are keeping things exciting for those trying to plan ahead.
On July 16th, the national Climate Prediction Center released the climate outlooks for August (Figure 1) and the August-September-October (Figure 2) period.
For the first time in what seems like months, the 8-to-14-day climate outlook is not showing significant confidence for above-normal temperatures in Indiana (Figure 1).
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